Friday, May 22, 2009

Elections Results and Thoughts

Hmm, the results are out Cong has won. My predictions have gone wrong. I never expected Congress to win 200 seats on its own. I thought another fragile UPA arrangement or Third Front with outside support from Congress will form government, meaning no electoral victory only post poll adjustments. But Congress has got a mandate this time, much clearer than in 2004.

Seems to be Manmohan's victory above all given they were fighting with him as the PM Candidate. Hope he stays for 5 years and doesnt leave the throne to Prince Royal midway through. But the bigger problem has been the way the losers react and the way the media receives their reaction.

The Left defated in WB says it was because of Third Front not because of Nandigram or its misrule. The BJP secretly blames Varun/Modi. Not its projection of 82 year old Advani or its philosophy of Mazboot Neta. I dont understand this whole idea of these parties. When you win the leader claims the victory and when you fail the blame is shifted. No Leader takes the blame. Vajpayee did not take the defeat in 2004 as his defeat and still people say if Vajpayee was there BJP would have won, they did not when Vajpayee was contesting for PM in 2004. What miracle was he going to bring in 2009. Advani has not taken the defeat as rejection of his candidature and Arun Jaitley says Congress won because of Third Front.

When the Left says the idea of Third Front failed and people voted Congress for stability No one asks why in Orissa Naveen Patnaik won in spite of he being part of Third Front Projection. Why Nitish kumar wins when muslims polarised and voted for Congress. Whenever the Left and BJP(the right wing) comes to the same opinion on any issue it is bound to be wrong or Short sighted like the Nuclear Deal or attributing Third Front to their defeats. BJP did not improve on its tally, it lost 21 seats of its own. It could not better its performance in Gujarat. This all means BJP's Weak PM Projection, Terrorism Politics, Black money issue nothing was identifiable with the people. Left assumed it will get 40 seats and Mayawati will get 40 seats and they just need to hold together to prevent any government formation and they can be king makers.

If you dont have the guts to accept defeat and mistakes, introspect and change there is no way you are going to improve. BJP thought it lost its sacred right to power (after 50 years of being in opposition benches according to Vajpayee) for no mistake of itself in 2004. And still they think the same. They dont understand that today they are neither the face of Hindutva, nor of Liberalism, Nor a vibrant political environment. Unless they understand they have to improve their position and spread in all states and understand that there is an India beyond karnataka and further away from Bihar/Orissa they cannot be a claimant to power. They dont have a authentic leader who will inherit the party by default like the Congress, so to avoid one taking over from the other they want Vajpayee or Advani image to linger. Modi doesnt want Jaitley, Sushma doesnt want MM Joshi etc so they fight like the cats and give the sweet to the monkeys (old monkeys). Unless they ensure that they will allow the second level leaders to raise and not have a symbolic Rajnath Singh and a Historic Advani to lead the party they cannot raise like The Pheonix.

I am happy this time that Dr.MMS is going to run the government hopefully without much pressures from the coalition(in terms of left, Laloo etc), Karunanidhi and Mamata are still a problem but they might end up dependent on Congress at State level. But If the BJP doesnt revitalize itself by the next term and accept defeat as its own and not of the third or fourth fronts, it will be a big problem. I would never want to see the Prince Royal take over the reins hence the concern.